| 新疆第一产业就业人数发展趋势研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 方华,马琼,晁伟鹏.新疆第一产业就业人数发展趋势研究[J].塔里木农垦大学学报,2013(4):96-99. |
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| 作者姓名： | 方华 马琼 晁伟鹏 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]塔里木大学经济与管理学院,新疆阿拉尔843300 [2]不塔里木经济研究中心,新疆阿拉尔843300 |
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| 基金项目： | 塔里木大学校长基金硕士项目（TDSKSS1204） |
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| 摘 要： | 就业人数是产业发展的基础和前提，在分析新疆第一产业就业人数变化趋势的基础上，运用二次曲线模型预测新疆未来5年一产就业人数的变化情况，并对预测结果进行准确度分析，得出新疆一产就业人数在未来短时期内还将继续增加，并对可能产生的原因进行分析。
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| 关 键 词： | 一产就业人数 二次曲线模型 预测分析 |
A Study on the Trend of Xinjiangg First Industry Employment |
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| Fang HuaI Ma Qiong,＇,Chao Weipeng.A Study on the Trend of Xinjiangg First Industry Employment[J].Journal of Tarim University of Agricultural Reclamation,2013(4):96-99. |
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| Authors: | Fang HuaI Ma Qiong ＇ Chao Weipeng |
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| Institution: | 1＇2. College of Economics and Management, Tarim University, Alar, Xinjiang 843300) (2 Xinjiang Center for Economic Research, Alar, Xinjiang 843300) |
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| Abstract: | Industry employment plays a certain role in promoting first industry development. On the basis of analyzing the change trend of first industry employment in Xinjiang, the paper forecasts the changes of Xinjiang~ first industry employment in the next 5 years u- sing quadratic curve model, analyzes the accuracy of predicting results, and comes to a conclusion that the first industry employment in Xinjiang will increase continuously in short period, together with the analysis of the possible reasons. |
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| Keywords: | first industry employment quadratic curve model forecast and analysis |
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