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| 信阳市大气环境质量现状评价及预测 | |
| 引用本文： | 赵承美,龚守富,张海震,邹发俊.信阳市大气环境质量现状评价及预测[J].信阳农业高等专科学校学报,2010,20(1):129-131. |
| 作者姓名： | 赵承美 龚守富 张海震 邹发俊 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 信阳师范学院,城市与环境科学系,河南,信阳,464000 2. 信阳农业高等专科学校规划与设计系,河南,信阳,464000 3. 信阳市环境监测站,河南,信阳,464000 |
| 基金项目： | 信阳师范学院青年骨干教师资助计划，信阳师范学院青年基金项目 |
| 摘 要： | 根据信阳市2005~2008年大气环境中3种污染物(可吸入颗粒物、二氧化硫、二氧化氮)的监测值,对信阳市大气环境进行现状评价并采用灰色系统模型GM(1,1)对大气环境质量进行中短期预测。现状评价结果表明:信阳市大气环境质量良好,可吸入颗粒物已经成为影响信阳市大气环境质量的首要污染物。灰色系统模型GM(1,1)中短期预测结果表明:未来几年信阳大气中可吸入颗粒物浓度与二氧化硫浓度呈下降趋势,二氧化氮浓度却呈上升趋势。 |
| 关 键 词： | 大气环境质量 现状评价 预测模型 |
Current evaluation and forecast on environmental quality of Xinyang city |
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| Institution: | ZHAO Cheng-mei ,GONG Shou-fu ,ZHANG Hai-zhen ,ZHOU Fa-jun ( 1. Dept. of City＆ Environment Science, Xinyang Normal Univerisity, Xinyang 464000, China; 2. Dept. of Programming and Design, Xinyang Agricultural College, Xinyang 464000, China; 3. Environmental Monitoring Station of Xinyang City, Xinyang 464000, China; ) |
| Abstract: | According to the monitoring data of air pollutants including inhalable particulates, sulphur dioxide and nitrogen dioxide in Xinyang city in the period of 2005 - 2008, current evaluation on atmospheric environmental quality and the ambient air quality was forecast by the grey system GM （ 1,1 ） model. The results show that atmospheric environmental quality was fine. Inhalable particulates has become predominant pollntant which influences atmospheric environmental quality of Xinyang city. The results of short - term forecast show that concentrates of inhalable particulates and sulphur dioxide in the atmosphere of Xinyang city will decline by the grey system GM （ 1,1 ） model, but concentrate of nitrogen dioxide will rise in the future. |
| Keywords: | atmospheric environmental quality current evaluation forecasting model |
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