运用面板协整方法对大小兴安岭森林生态功能区旅游经济效应的评价

以大小兴安岭森林生态功能区及其内部三大重点区域——大兴安岭地区、伊春市、黑河市为研究区域,选取1992—2016年旅游收入和地区生产总值两个指标的面板数据,运用面板协整方法分析大小兴安岭森林生态功能区旅游收入与经济增长之间的长期协整关系,并对二者关系进行格兰杰因果检验,揭示大小兴安岭森林生态功能区旅游经济效应规律。结果表明:长期内,研究区域内各变量之间通过协整检验证明,均存在长期均衡关系,经济增长对生态功能区整体、伊春市、黑河市的旅游收入起到一定的促进作用,但是带动力度较弱;大兴安岭地区的旅游收入,是其地区经济增长的Granger原因。

Evaluation of the Tourism Economic Effect of the Daxing'an and Xiaoxing'an Mountains Forest Ecological Func-tion Area with Panel Cointegration Method

Selecting the Daxing'an and Xiaoxing'an Mountains forest ecological functional area and the three key areas within it,by the panel data method to measure tourism income and long-term cointegration relationship between economic growth in 1992-2016,we used the Granger causality test to reveal the tourism economic effect rules.In the long term, between each variable in the study area through the cointegration test to prove that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship,e-conomic growth for ecological function areas as a whole,Yichun and Heihe tourism revenue play a role in promoting,but the drive strength is weak.Daxing'an Mountain tourism income is the Granger cause of economic growth.