| 基于SD模型的新疆奇台县水资源的优化配置研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 于言哲,熊黑钢.基于SD模型的新疆奇台县水资源的优化配置研究[J].干旱区资源与环境,2010(5). |
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| 作者姓名： | 于言哲 熊黑钢 |
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| 作者单位： | 新疆大学资源与环境科学学院;北京联合大学应用文理学院; |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金(40771194);;北京市属高等学校人才强教计划资助项目(PHR200906125)资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用系统动力学对新疆奇台县水资源的供需状况进行了深入研究,根据该地区的特点建立水资源系统动力学仿真模型。通过该模型对奇台县2010年、2020年的需水量进行预测和分析,提出高、中、低三个方案,并进一步分析比较得出了适合于该县经济和环境协调发展的综合方案,从而为决策者提供科学的决策依据。
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| 关 键 词： | SD模型 水资源 配置 系统动力学 |
Optimal allocation of water resources of Qitai in Xinjiang based on SD |
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| YU Yanzhe,XIONG Heigang.Optimal allocation of water resources of Qitai in Xinjiang based on SD[J].Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2010(5). |
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| Authors: | YU Yanzhe XIONG Heigang |
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| Institution: | 1.Institute of Resources and Environment Science;Xinjiang University;Urumqi 830046;P.R.China;2.Department of Urban Science;Beijing Union University;Beijing 100083;P.R.China |
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| Abstract: | System dynamics(SD)was used for further studying the water resource supporting capacity of Qitai in Xinjiang.According to the characteristics of the area,the system dynamics imitating model of water resource supporting capacity of Qitai country was built.The water resource capacity of Qitai country in 2010 and 2020 were forecasted and analyzed by means of modeling of three alternatives;High,middle and low alternatives were put forward and then a synthesize method for environment and economy development in h... |
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| Keywords: | water resource allocation system Dynamic(SD) model |
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