| 基于信息扩散近似推理的年径流量预测模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈海涛,冯刚,段春青,邱林. 基于信息扩散近似推理的年径流量预测模型[J]. 节水灌溉, 2008, 0(9) |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈海涛 冯刚 段春青 邱林 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 华北水利水电学院水利学院,河南,郑州,450011
2. 河北省邢台金成建筑安装有限公司,河北,邢台,054000 |
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| 基金项目： | 河南省高校创新人才培养项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过分析年径流时间序列的特性,利用信息扩散近似推理描述年径流量间的复杂非线性关系,建立起基于信息扩散近似推理的年径流预测模型.信息扩散近似推理将样本点转换成模糊集,部分弥补了由于数据的不完备性所造成的信息空白,并可以将矛盾模式转换成兼容模式.通过与传统预测方法相比较,发现该模型能够很好地光滑样本数据以及能够较好地发掘知识,有较高的预测精度和推广应用价值.
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| 关 键 词： | 信息扩散近似推理 预测 年径流 |
Annual Runoff Prediction Model Based on Information-Diffusion Approximate Reasoning |
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| CHEN Hai-tao,FENG Gang,DUAN Chun-qing,QIU lin. Annual Runoff Prediction Model Based on Information-Diffusion Approximate Reasoning[J]. Water Saving Irrigation, 2008, 0(9) |
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| Authors: | CHEN Hai-tao FENG Gang DUAN Chun-qing QIU lin |
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| Abstract: | Through analysis of annual runoff time-series characteristic,the information-diffusion approximate reasoning method is used to describe the complex nonlinear relationship among annual runoff,and the annual runoff prediction model based on information-diffusion approximate reasoning is established in this paper.The information-diffusion approximate reasoning method converts the sample points to fuzzy set,partly compensates the information vacancy caused by incomplete data,and can convert incompatible mode to compatible mode.Compared with traditional prediction method,the information-diffusion approximate reasoning model can well smooth the difference among the sample data and mine uncertain knowledge.It also has good prediction precision and promotion value. |
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| Keywords: | information-diffusion approximate reasoning prediction annual runoff |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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