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阿勒泰西部过去近600年夏季气候变化及未来10年趋势预估
引用本文:张同文,袁玉江,魏文寿,喻树龙,张瑞波,陈峰,尚华明,范子昂,张冰江. 阿勒泰西部过去近600年夏季气候变化及未来10年趋势预估[J]. 干旱区资源与环境, 2011, 0(7): 84-90
作者姓名:张同文  袁玉江  魏文寿  喻树龙  张瑞波  陈峰  尚华明  范子昂  张冰江
作者单位:中国气象局乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所;新疆树木年轮生态实验室;中国气象局树木年轮理化研究重点开放实验室;新疆林业局巩乃斯林场;
基金项目:国家自然科学基金(40975056); 科技部公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY200806011),科技部科技基础性工作专项(2007FY220200),科技部科研院所社会公益研究专项(2005DIB6J113); 中国气象局新技术推广项目(CMATG2008Z13); 中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费项目(IDM200601,IDM200801); 中国沙漠气象科学研究基金课题(Sqj2009010)共同资助
摘    要:利用树轮宽度资料重建的阿勒泰西部历史平均气温和降水量序列以及这一地区的气象观测资料,对阿勒泰西部夏季气候进行了年代际尺度的变化分析。分析结果表明:阿勒泰西部夏季平均气温以40-60 a的变化准周期为主,同时存在有11 a左右和21 a左右的变化准周期;而夏季降水量则以29 a左右的变化准周期为主,同时存在有9 a左右和...

关 键 词:阿勒泰西部  气候变化  趋势预估  小波分析

The summer climatic variations in the western Aletai region,Xinjiang Province during the last 600 years and the variation trend prediction for the next 10 years
ZHANG Tongwen,,YUAN Yujiang,WEI Wenshou,YU Shulong,ZHANG Ruibo,CHEN Feng,SHANG Huaming,FAN Ziang,ZHANG Bingjiang. The summer climatic variations in the western Aletai region,Xinjiang Province during the last 600 years and the variation trend prediction for the next 10 years[J]. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2011, 0(7): 84-90
Authors:ZHANG Tongwen    YUAN Yujiang  WEI Wenshou  YU Shulong  ZHANG Ruibo  CHEN Feng  SHANG Huaming  FAN Ziang  ZHANG Bingjiang
Affiliation:ZHANG Tongwen1,2,3,YUAN Yujiang1,WEI Wenshou1,YU Shulong1,ZHANG Ruibo1,CHEN Feng1,SHANG Huaming1,FAN Ziang1,ZHANG Bingjiang4(1.Institute of Desert Meteorology,China Meteorological Administration,Urumqi 830002,P.R.China,2.Xinjiang Laboratory of Tree Ring Ecology,3.Key Laboratory of Tree-ring Physical Chemic Research of China Meteorological Administration,4.Forestry Center of Gongnaisi,Forest Administration of Xinjiang,Gongnaisi 84131...
Abstract:In this paper,the reconstructed average temperature and precipitation series which were reconstructed by the tree-ring width data and the meteorological data were used to analyze the summer climatic variations in the western Aletai prefecture.The average temperature series had the main variant period of 40-60a and the other variant period of 11a and 21a.The precipitation series had the main variant period of 29a and the other variant period of 9a and 60-74a.The abrupt variations of average temperature occur...
Keywords:the western Aletai prefecture  climatic variations  prediction of the variation trends  Wavelet analysis  
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