2013年近期棉花市场形势分析与展望

2013年以来中国棉花市场整体平稳运行。国内籽棉收购价格保持平稳，皮棉价格稳中有涨。国际现货市场价格在期货价格上涨带动下先连续上涨后小幅下跌，内外棉价差缩小，中国棉花进口量大幅减少。受2012年棉价低位运行影响，主产国植棉意向明显下降，预计2013／14年度全球植棉面积、产量双双下降，国内棉花种植面积下降6．55％。

Analysis of Recent Cotton Market in 2013 and Its Prospect

China＇s cotton market has remained steady since 2013. Domestic seed cotton purchasing price kept stable and lint price rose steadily. International spot market prices of cotton decreased slightly after continuous rise in first driven by increasing futures prices. China＇s cotton imports declined significantly due to the narrowing gap between domestic and international cotton price. Affected by low-level operation of cotton price in 2012 and significant reduction of farmers＇ cotton growing wills in main producing countries, it is expected that global cotton planting area and production will drop in 2013/14, domestic cotton planting area will decrease by 6. 55%.