2013年上半年黑龙江省玉米市场分析与后市展望

2013年上半年,玉米市场在玉米丰收、市场需求不旺和国际金融市场动荡等诸多因素的影响下,市场价格自新年伊始持续下滑。在国家临储政策力度加大后,3月市场价格止跌企稳,行情一直不温不火保持稳定。结合国内外玉米期、现货市场走势以及相关热点,下半年玉米走势会更加复杂,预计第3季度走势呈温和上涨,而后随着新粮上市季节性回落的机率仍较大,但出现如2012年大幅飙升骤降的可能性很小。

Analysis of Maize Market in Heilongjiang Province in the First Half of 2013 and Its Future Prospect

In the first half of 2013, maize price in Heilongjiang province fell substantially after the New Year, due to maize harvest, weak demand, international financial market turmoil and so on. Maize price was stabilized in March and maize market situation was tepid and stable all the time after strengthening the maize temporary purchasing and storage policy. The trend of maize price will be more complex in the second half of 2013, according to the trends of maize futures and spot markets and related hotspots, and will move in a gently rising first then fall with new grain entering into the market in the third quarter of 2013, but the probability of price fluctuating wildly is very small.