依靠科技进步增资减危理论体系研究*

根据我国森林资源危机的严峻现实，提出如何依靠科技进步缓解森林资源危机。研究提出了“组织促需”的理论体系，强调林业“科技－资源”系统结构效益和要素的协调，合理和有效的配置。并进行“组织促需”的林业科技实力，能力和潜力的分析评价。从森林资源总量和质量两个方面对森林资源基础进行了分析。针对森林生长长期性的特点，提出了用材林“资源度”的概念，并对森林资源增长中技术进步的作用进行了定量测算。最后提出十条对策

A Study of Theoretical System on Relying on Scientific and Technological Advances in Alleviating Forest Resource Crisis

In view of the reality of the serious crisis of forest resources in China, the paper discusses how to rely on scientific and technological advances in alleviating the crisis of forest resources. The research topic, for the first time, raises a theory of structural readjustment to stimulate the need, which emphasizes the effect and the coordination of the elements of systematic structure of forest science/technology-resources, and the rational and effective disposition. It first gives a review of the actual strength, capabilities and potential of forest science and technology, and analyses the foundation of forest resources in terms of total quantity and quality of the forest resources. According to the character of long period of forest growth, it puts forward a concept of resource magnitude for commercial timber forest, and makes a quantitative estimate of the effect of technological advances in expanding forest resources. Finally, ten corresponding measures are proposed.