葫芦岛市环境气象指数预报方法与业务平台建设研究

介绍了葫芦岛市环境气象指数预报方法的设计思路和业务系统平台的建设情况。详细阐述了环境气象指数的技术原理。根据气象环境要素值与环境气象指数之间具有敏感度关系的原理,应用多种统计学方法,包括回归统计法、因子加权法、相关统计法、历史资料反查法和概念模型法建立了五大类共14种环境气象指数预报模型。对11种指数预报模型2007、2008年预报产品的抽样定性检验,结果显示,预报产品具有较高的预报质量。最后,介绍了系统平台的建设情况,包括平台建设技术路线、跨部门预报会商及数据传输的实现方式和平台的窗体结构与各项功能。

Study on the Environment Weather Index Prediction Method and Operation Platform Construction in Huludao City

The design idea of environment weather index prediction method and the construction situations of operation system platform in Huludao City were introduced.The technology principle of environment climate index was discussed in detail.According to the principle of sensitivity correlation between weather environment element values and environment weather index,using many statistics methods (including regression statistical method,factor weighted method,relevant statistical method,historical data reverse-check...