对在华境外非政府组织的分类财务监管研究

采用1993-2014年中国31个省市的外商直接投资数据，利用了空间马尔可夫链方法和地理信息技术，研究了中国各省市外商直接投资的时空演化特征.按照FDI投资比重大小把各省市FDI演化特征划分为低、中低、中高和高4种类型，构建马尔可夫状态转移概率矩阵，利用空间Markov方法模拟了中国各省市FDI投资的时空演化过程.结果发现中国各省市FDI分布极不均衡，在1993-2002年期间主要分布在中国东部沿海地区，到2014年具有逐步向中西部转移的趋势.比较空间马尔可夫链的初始分布和极限分布发现，当处于低和中低状态时，极限概率小于初始概率，当处于中高和高状态时，极限概率大于初始概率；由此可以说明中国各省市FDI投资水平的提高正在稳步推进，而且FDI空间区位演化过程具有发散性.

Research on the Classified Supervision of Finance Towards Foreign NGOs in Mainland China

Foreign NGOs in Mainland China have various activity purposes, complex organization forms and extensive home range, it is hard for the Chinese government to unify the financial supervision system. According to the nature of the organization, this article divides Foreign NGOs in Mainland China into two kinds, one being for the public benefit and the other for mutual benefit. Then this paper constructs differential financial supervision models according to their respective nature of the organizations. On that basis, the paper puts forward some necessary measures for perfecting the classified supervision of finance and forms a complete system of the classified finance supervision of foreign NGOs in China. Which would be helpful to the optimal allocation of government public management resources and promote the sustained and healthy development of foreign NGOs in China.