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东北内蒙古地区2010年木材供需预测
引用本文:朱洪革.东北内蒙古地区2010年木材供需预测[J].森林工程,2008,24(6):84-87.
作者姓名:朱洪革
作者单位:东北林业大学,哈尔滨,150040;中国社会科学院农村发展研究所,北京,100732
基金项目:东北林业大学哲学社会科学研究基金 
摘    要:预测2010年东北、内蒙古地区木材的供需状况。到2010年区域木材供给量为4808.50万m^3,其中区域木材产量占58%,从俄罗斯进口的木材占42%。木材的需求量为6475.81万m^3,供需缺口达1 667万m^3。不考虑区域外的需求及国外的需求,东北、内蒙古地区的木材供给还是能够满足本地区经济建设需求的。木材供需的缺口对本地区木材需求不会造成太大的影响,但却对其他地区对木材的需求将产生重要影响。对于东北、内蒙古地区而言,俄罗斯远东地区是理想的木材供应基地,应规范企业的对俄木材贸易,将这一地区开发成可持续的木材供应市场。

关 键 词:东北、内蒙古地区  木材  供需  预测

Forecast of Timber Supply and Demand in the Northeast and Inner Mongolia Region
Zhu Hongge.Forecast of Timber Supply and Demand in the Northeast and Inner Mongolia Region[J].Forest Engineering,2008,24(6):84-87.
Authors:Zhu Hongge
Institution:Zhu Hongge ( 1. Northeast Forestry University, Harbin 150040; 2. Rural Development Institut of Chinese Academy of Social Science, Beijing 100732)
Abstract:The supply and demand of timber in the northeast and Inner Mongolia of China was forecasted.By 2010,the gross supply of timber in this region would have been 48.085 million m3,among which regional timber production and import timber from Russia would occupy 58% and 42%,respectively,whereas demand of timber would be 67.7581 million m3,so the gap between supply and demand would achieve 16.67 million m3.It was clear that supply of timber would meet the requirement for economic construction in this region if not considering demand of other region and foreign countries.The gap between supply and demand would not exercise great influence on timber demand of the northeast and Inner Mongolia region,but it would have great effect on timber demand of other region.For the northeast and Inner Mongolia region,Far East area of Russia was perfect timber supply market and it wad pointed out that trade strategy adapting to timber export tax of Russia should be put out and timber trade of our enterprises to Russia should be standardized.In addition,banning illegal harvesting was very important to the sustainable timber market.
Keywords:northeast and Inner Mongolia region  timber  supply and demand  forecast
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