| 南明河流域枯水径流量的长期预报 |
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| 引用本文： | 罗书文,梁虹,杨桃,袁子勇,孔兰. 南明河流域枯水径流量的长期预报[J]. 水土保持通报, 2008, 28(5): 44-47 |
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| 作者姓名： | 罗书文 梁虹 杨桃 袁子勇 孔兰 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 贵州师范大学,地理与生物科学学院,贵州,贵阳,550001
2. 贵阳十二中,贵州,贵阳,550002 |
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| 基金项目： | 贵州省优秀青年科技人才培养计划资助项目[黔科合人字(2003)0315]; 贵州省优秀科技教育人才省长专项资金项目[黔科教办(2003)04]; 贵州省科学技术基金[黔科合人字(2005)2085]; 贵州师范大学学生课题(2007—2008) |
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| 摘 要： | 多年来对河流径流量进行预报，一直是水文工作者追求的目标之一，但由于全国各地水汽来源不同，河流特性千差万别，因而用一套通用的预报方案不能够准确、及时地预报，以达到防洪抗旱的能力。介绍了用频谱分析进行枯水径流分析和预报的基本方法，并用该方法对岩溶地区南明河流域径流进行预报分析和建模。模拟预报结果表明，该流域径流量存在3个显著枯水周期（2，4和9a左右），预报结果可为南明河流域经济发展提供依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 频谱分析 南明河流域 周期成分 枯水径流预报 |
| 收稿时间： | 2008-04-19 |
| 修稿时间： | 2008-06-20 |
Long-term Forecast of Low Water Runoff in Nanming River Basin |
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| LUO Shu-wen,LIANG Hong,YANG Tao,YUAN Zi-yong and KONG Lan. Long-term Forecast of Low Water Runoff in Nanming River Basin[J]. Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation, 2008, 28(5): 44-47 |
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| Authors: | LUO Shu-wen LIANG Hong YANG Tao YUAN Zi-yong KONG Lan |
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| Affiliation: | School of Geography and Biology, Guizhou Normal University, Guiyang, Guizhou 550001, China;School of Geography and Biology, Guizhou Normal University, Guiyang, Guizhou 550001, China;The Twelfth Middle School of Guiyang, Guiyang, Guizhou 550002, China;School of Geography and Biology, Guizhou Normal University, Guiyang, Guizhou 550001, China;School of Geography and Biology, Guizhou Normal University, Guiyang, Guizhou 550001, China |
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| Abstract: | Forecast of river runoff has been one of the objectives that hydrologists persevere to pursue for decades.However,because of different sources of water vapor throughout the country and the features of different rivers,using a common set of forecasting options can not give an accurate and timely prediction for flood prevention and drought controlling capabilities.Spectrum analysis is used to analyze and forecast low water runoff.Models are developed through forecasting runoff analysis of Nanming River basin ... |
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| Keywords: | spectrum analysis Nanming River basin periodic component forecast of low water runoff |
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