| 林区短时天气预报系统的算法研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 姜博文,王健,张月明,盛天杨. 林区短时天气预报系统的算法研究[J]. 安徽农业科学, 2014, 0(5): 1380-1381 |
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| 作者姓名： | 姜博文 王健 张月明 盛天杨 |
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| 作者单位： | 东北林业大学; |
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| 摘 要： | 对最小残差绝对值回归和逐步回归从理论上进行了比较,并利用东方红林业局森林物候气象站的历史资料和常规气象资料进行了相关计算,对局部降雨地域和降雨样本进行了系统的分析,通过实际的计算与分析表明最小残差绝对值回归具有更好的预报能力,对林区短时气象预报具有十分积极的意义。
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| 关 键 词： | 最小残差绝对值回归 逐步回归 短时气象预报 |
Algorithm Research of Forest Short Term Weather Forecasting System |
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| Affiliation: | JIANG Bo-wen, WANG Jian et al (Northeast Forestry University, Harbin, Heilongjiang 150040) |
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| Abstract: | The minimum absolute error regression was compared with stepwise regression from the theory and uses the data collected from Forest Phenology Meteorological Station of Dongfanghong Forestry Bureau to conduct correlation calculation. The local rainfall area and rainfall samples were analyzed systematically. Calculation and analysis results showed that the minimum absolute error regression has better prediction ability, which has a positive significance on forest short term weather forecast. |
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| Keywords: | The minimum absolute error regression Stepwise regression Short term weather forecast |
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