内蒙古通辽市夏季降水量短期气候预测方法研究

为提高内蒙古通辽市夏季降水量气候预测水平,利用积分回归法建立该地区夏季降水量短期气候预测方法。结果表明,建立的方法物理意义清楚,所建预测模型达到了显著水平,并且在一定程度上反映了气候变化的过程,经试报检验具有一定的实用价值。

Study on Short-term Climate Prediction Method for Summer Precipitation in Tongliao City of Inner Mongolia

In order to improve the climate prediction ability for summer precipitation in Tongliao City of Inner Mongolia,the short-term climate prediction method for summer precipitation in this region was developed by integral regression.The results showed that the developed method had clear physical meaning and the established prediction model reached significant level.The prediction model reflected the climate change process to a certain extent and had practical value proved by verifications.