间断均衡理论视角的中国林业产权政策变迁分析

文中基于间断均衡理论模型，对中华人民共和国成立以来林业产权政策变迁过程进行梳理与分析。结果发现:结合关键事件可判断出中国林业产权政策变迁存在6个时间节点，经过了2个间断期和4个均衡期，并且呈现出“试点—推广”的政策演变方式。通过探究政策变迁的内在动机发现，决策主体的注意力、焦点事件的爆发、公众的参与行为和政策内容的突破性创新是导致林业产权政策议定场所发生变化的重大动因，其中焦点事件对林业产权政策场域的驱动作用十分明显。修正后的间断均衡模型能够有效解释中国林业产权政策变迁的逻辑。

Analysis on the Changes of China's Forestry Property Rights Policy from the Perspective of Punctuated Equilibrium Theory

The changes of forestry property rights policy since 1949 are reviewed and analyzed using the theoretical model of punctuated equilibrium. It is revealed that the forestry property rights policy in China has gone through 6 nodes, 2 interruption periods and 4 equilibrium periods, and presents the policy evolution mode of “pilot-promotion” during its changes. By exploring the internal motivation of the policy change, it is found that the decision-makers’ attention, the outbreak of focus events, the public participation behavior and the breakthrough innovation of policy are the major drivers for the great change in the agreeing place of forestry property rights policy, among which the focus event is the obviously significant driving force for the forestry property rights policy field. The revised punctuated equilibrium model can effectively explain the logic of forestry property rights policy changes in China.