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油松毛虫种群动态的ARMA(p,q)模型
引用本文:张素芬 夏乃斌. 油松毛虫种群动态的ARMA(p,q)模型[J]. 北京林业大学学报, 1992, 14(1): 93-97
作者姓名:张素芬 夏乃斌
作者单位:北京林业大学(张素芬,夏乃斌),北京林业大学(屠泉洪)
摘    要:应用随机过程理论建立了油松毛虫上树后至化蛹阶段的ARMA(p,q)模型,并对该阶段的种群动态进行了模拟,其模拟值与实测值十分接近。

关 键 词:油松毛虫  随机过程  ARMA(p,q)模型

ARMA (p, g) Model for the Population Dynamics of Chinese Pine Caterpillar
Zhang Sufen Xia Naibin Tu Quanhong. ARMA (p, g) Model for the Population Dynamics of Chinese Pine Caterpillar[J]. Journal of Beijing Forestry University, 1992, 14(1): 93-97
Authors:Zhang Sufen Xia Naibin Tu Quanhong
Affiliation:Beijing Forestry University
Abstract:Using the stochastic process theory, an ARMA (p,q) model of the larvae of the Chinese pine caterpillar was established for the up-tree to pupation stages. In addition, the population dynamics of the stage were simulated and the simulated value corresponded significantly to data.
Keywords:Chinese pine caterpillar   stochastic process   ARMA (p  q) model  
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