| 应用积分GM(1,1)模型进行杉木炭疽病预测预报的研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 朱建华,叶剑雄,张再福,陈红梅,傅瑞树. 应用积分GM(1,1)模型进行杉木炭疽病预测预报的研究[J]. 福建林业科技, 2002, 29(1): 23-25 |
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| 作者姓名： | 朱建华 叶剑雄 张再福 陈红梅 傅瑞树 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 三明市林委,福建三明,365001
2. 福建省林科院,福建福州,350012 |
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| 摘 要： | 以积分生成代替传统的累加生成方法 ,并用双向差分建立积分GM (1,1)灰色预测模型进行杉木炭疽病预测预报的研究 ,结果表明积分GM (1,1)模型能较好地预测杉木炭疽病在三明市的发生
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色预测 GM(1,1)模型 杉木炭疽病 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-7351(2002)01-0023-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001-08-08 |
Applying Integral GM(1, 1) Model to Conduct the Prediction and Forecast of Colletotrichum gloeosporioides |
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| ZHU Jian hua ,YE Jian xiong ,ZHANG Zai fu ,CHEN Hong mei ,FU Rui shu. Applying Integral GM(1, 1) Model to Conduct the Prediction and Forecast of Colletotrichum gloeosporioides[J]. Journal of Fujian Forestry Science and Technology, 2002, 29(1): 23-25 |
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| Authors: | ZHU Jian hua YE Jian xiong ZHANG Zai fu CHEN Hong mei FU Rui shu |
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| Affiliation: | ZHU Jian hua 1,YE Jian xiong 2,ZHANG Zai fu 1,CHEN Hong mei 1,FU Rui shu 1 |
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| Abstract: | The integral create replaced the traditional accumulative create method in this paper,and the bidirectional difference was used to set up the integral GM(1,1) grey prediction model for conducting the research on the prediction and forecast of Colletotrichum gloeosporioides. The results show that the integral GM(1,1) model can predict the occurance of C.gloeosporioides in Sanming City better. |
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| Keywords: | Grey prediction GM(1 1) model Colletotrichum gloeosporioides |
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