| 深圳市宝安区水资源配置研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张凯铭,董增川. 深圳市宝安区水资源配置研究[J]. 中国农村水利水电, 2012, 0(6): 65-68 |
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| 作者姓名： | 张凯铭 董增川 |
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| 作者单位： | 河海大学水文水资源学院,南京,210098 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据深圳市宝安区铁岗水库的水资源状况,系统地分析了该区沙井和松岗两个片区的用水量和天然来水量情况。采用灰色GM(1,1)模型对该区域的需水量进行了模拟,计算得到2012年的需水总量。利用自回归模型预测了铁岗水库的来水量。最后针对需水量和供水量,以区域供水系统相对缺水率最小为目标函数,建立了适当的优化配置模型,并采用动态规划方法,得到了两个片区时间上较为合理的配置方案,具有一定的实际应用价值。
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| 关 键 词： | 需水量 来水量 自回归模型 优化配置 动态规划模型 |
Research on Allocation of Water Resources in Shenzhen Baoan District |
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| ZHANG Kai-ming,DONG Zeng-chuan. Research on Allocation of Water Resources in Shenzhen Baoan District[J]. China Rural Water and Hydropower, 2012, 0(6): 65-68 |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Kai-ming DONG Zeng-chuan |
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| Affiliation: | (College of Hydrology and Water Resources,Hohai University,Nanjing 210098,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on water resources of Tiegang Reservoir of Shenzhen Baoan District,this paper analyzes the water consumption and natural water situation of Shajing and Songgang areas.Gray GM(1,1) model is used to carry out a simulation of water demand and get the total demand of water.And it makes use of autoregressive model to predict the inflow of Tiegang Reservoir.According to water demand and output of water supply,an appropriate model is established with the method of dynamic programming algorithm for the sake of the minimum water ratio of water deficiency.At last a reasonable collocation scheme of the two areas is obtained and it has certain practical value. |
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| Keywords: | water demand inflow autoregressive model water resources optimal allocation dynamic programming |
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