新安江模型与总径流线性响应模型的应用对比研究

建立了三水源新安江模型和总径流线性响应模型，并应用于广东省的4个小型流域。针对根据同一流域对不同洪水等级具有不同调蓄能力的特点，提出了分类法率定新安江模型参数，从5个精度度量标准对两类模型的应用效果进行了较深入的对比分析，结果表明，分类法率定新安江模型参数能够得到更合理的参数，有助于提高预报精度，且新安江模型在研究流域的适用性是优于总径流线性响应模型的。

A Comparative Study of the Application of Xin'anjiang Model and Total Linear Response Model

Both Sanshuiyuan Xin’anjiang model and Total Linear Response model are developed to study their adaptabilities in four small valleys of Guangdong. A classification method to adjust the parameters of the Xin’anjiang model is put forward in this paper. The analysis and comparison on simulated results from Xin’anjiang model and TLR model are performed based on five indexes. The result shows that estimating parameters of the Xin’anjiang model by using classification method is not only reasonable but also helpful in increasing the precision of the prediction.