新疆主要城市城市化水平及其发展对策

本文选取了经济城市化、产业结构城市化、人口城市化、生活质量城市化四个一级指标以及其下层的十三个二级子指标构成了新疆各主要城市城市化水平测度的指标体系。通过层次分析法(AHP)以及德尔菲法(Delphi)来确定各指标的权重,根据多指标综合评价模型得出新疆主要城市城市化水平。依据各市的城市化水平进行聚类,并根据聚类结果将新疆19个主要城市分为五个层次:第一层次:克拉玛依和乌鲁木齐,城市化水平最高;第二层次:库尔乐、哈密、奎屯、昌吉、伊宁、石河子、喀什,城市化水平较高;第三层次:阜康、米泉、城市化水平中等;第四层次:塔城、博乐、和田、阿克苏、阿勒泰、吐鲁番和乌苏,城市化水平较低;第五层次:阿图什,城市化水平最低。同时,城市化水平的空间分布不平衡。针对各城市城市化水平的层次性和区域不平衡性提出了城市今后发展相应的对策。

The Urbanization Levels of Some Main Cities in Xinjiang and Their Development Countermeasures

Four first class indexes of economic urbanization\,industrial structure urbanization\,population urbanization\,life quality urbanization and 13 sub indexes were selected to form index system and to estimate theurbanization level in Xinjiang.Applying the Del Philippines law(Delphi)and AHP toconfirm the weight of each index and getting urbanizationlevels on the basis of many comprehensive appraisal models of index.On the basis of urbanization levels of each cities,19 cities in Xinjiang were divided into five levels: The first level: Keramay and Urumqi,the urbanization was the highest level;The second level: Korla,Hami,Kuitun,Changji,Yining,Shihezi,Kashgar,the urbanization level was relatively high;The third level: Fukang,Miquan,urbanization was medium-sized;The fourth level: Tacheng,Bole,Hotan,Aksu,Altay,Turpan and Usu;The fifth level: Artux,the urbanization has the lowest level.Meanwhile,the space distribution of the urbanization level was uneven.