祖国大陆对台湾农产品出口增长的影响因素分析

从分析影响因素出发，确定影响祖国大陆对台湾地区农产品出口额增长的主导因素，为促进两岸农产品贸易的发展提供决策依据，为加强双方在农产品贸易领域的合作提供政策建议。文章利用联合国粮农组织数据库、中国海关统计数据，运用恒定市场份额（CMS模型）分析方法，针对祖国大陆对台湾地区农产品出口增长的问题进行分析。结果表明：加入WTO后，祖国大陆对台湾地区农产品出口增长主要是受进口需求因素和出口竞争力因素的影响，而结构因素的影响则微不足道。通过分析，得出以下结论：增长的市场容量是祖国大陆对台湾地区农产品出口增长的一个重要因素，竞争力的下降导致出口增长不断减弱，祖国大陆对台湾地区市场未进行有效的开拓，两岸农产品贸易还有很大的增长潜力。

The mainland to Taiwan's agricultural products export growth analysis of the impact of factors

From the analysis of factors affecting, Determine the impact of the mainland Taiwan's agricultural exports-led growth factors, To promote the development of cross-strait trade of agricultural products to provide basis for decision making, To strengthen bilateral cooperation in the field of agricultural trade to provide policy recommendations.Using the FAO database, to Chinese Customs statistics, Use of CMS model analysis, For the mainland to Taiwan agricultural exports growth of the analysis.The results show that:After joining the WTO, The mainland to Taiwan agricultural products export growth mainly due to factors import demand and export competitiveness factors, And the impact of structural factors are insignificant.By analyzing, Draw the following conclusions:Growth in market capacity on the mainland is Taiwan's farm produce export growth an important factor, Competitiveness of the decline in export growth led to dwindling.Taiwan, the mainland market have not been effective development, Cross-strait trade of agricultural products there is great potential for growth.