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郑州市居民虚拟水消费灰色关联分析及趋势预测
引用本文:张金萍,刘俊阁,郭兵托.郑州市居民虚拟水消费灰色关联分析及趋势预测[J].节水灌溉,2011(10):29-32.
作者姓名:张金萍  刘俊阁  郭兵托
作者单位:1. 郑州大学水利与环境学院,郑州,450002
2. 黄河勘测规划设计有限公司,郑州,450003
基金项目:河南省教育厅自然科学研究计划项目(2010A570006)
摘    要:水是日常生活消费过程中必不可少的资源,消费结构与水资源消耗量有着直接的关系。郑州市1999-2008年虚拟水消费量的计算结果和未来5年虚拟水消费量的预测结果均表明:郑州市居民人均虚拟水消费量有逐渐增加的趋势。灰色关联分析结果表明:虚拟水消费结构在未来年份发生变化,消费重点由肉类转移为蔬菜类及蛋类、奶类、糕点等其他类产品...

关 键 词:虚拟水消费  灰色关联分析  趋势预测  郑州市

Grey Incidence Analysis and Trend Forecasting of Virtual Water Consumption for People in Zhengzhou
ZHANG Jin-ping,LIU Jun-ge,GUO Bing-tuo.Grey Incidence Analysis and Trend Forecasting of Virtual Water Consumption for People in Zhengzhou[J].Water Saving Irrigation,2011(10):29-32.
Authors:ZHANG Jin-ping  LIU Jun-ge  GUO Bing-tuo
Institution:ZHANG Jin-ping1,LIU Jun-ge1,GUO Bing-tuo2(1.College Water Conservancy & Environmental Engineering,Zhengzhou University,Zhengzhou 450002,China,2.Yellow River Engineering Consulting Co.,Ltd.,Zhengzhou 450003,China)
Abstract:Water is essential to daily consumption and the consumption structure is directly related with water consumption.The calculation of virtual water consumption for People in Zhengzhou from 1999 to 2008,as well as the forecasting of the next five years,all indicated a growing trend.Grey incidence analysis showed that the consumption structure of virtual water will change in the future.That is to say that the highlight of consumption will shift from meat to vegetables and the other products such as eggs,milk,ca...
Keywords:virtual water consumption  grey incidence analysis  trend forecast  Zhengzhou city  
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