贵州省农业产业结构调整对农业经济增长影响的实证分析

采用灰色关联和回归分析法测算1978-2012年贵州省农业内部各产业结构调整对农业经济增长的影响差异程度,结果显示:种植业影响作用最大,畜牧业次之,林业作用很小,而渔业不显著.选取种植业,对其内部各作物产值进行广义灰色关联度分析,结果显示:谷物及其他作物对种植业产值增长影响最大,蔬菜、园艺作物次之,水果、坚果、饮料、香料作物影响较小,而中药材影响最小.基于结论,提出贵州省农业产业结构调整的对策建议.

Effects of agricultural industry structural adjustment on agricultural economic growth of Guizhou province

Using grey correlation and regression analysis method, the different effects of agricultural industrystructural adjustment on agricultural economic growth of Guizhou province in 1978-2012 were measured. The resultsshowed that cropping was the major force to push forward agricultural economic growth, and animal husbandry hadalso a great effect on it, while forestry had a small and the fishery had no significant effect on it. Then it was toselect cropping as the research object and used grey correlation method to analyze the correlation among differentcrops and cropping, and the results showed that planting of cereal and other crops had great effect on cropping outputgrowth, and planting of vegetable and gardening crops had also great effect on it, while planting of fruits, nuts,beverages and spice crops had small and planting of Chinese traditional medicine had the smallest effect on it.Finally, based on the conclusion, the paper put forward some suggestions on agricultural industry structuraladjustment of Guizhou province.