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全球气候变化与中国森林的预测问题
引用本文:蒋有绪.全球气候变化与中国森林的预测问题[J].林业科学,1992,28(5):431-438.
作者姓名:蒋有绪
作者单位:中国林业科学研究院林业研究所
摘    要:本文以OSU模型和以GFDL、GISS、NCAR、OCU及UKMO等模型的综合分析对中国气候变化的预测为基础,讨论大约在2020年大气CO_2浓度两倍时对中国森林变化的预测途径。以杉木林的生长、产量和分布、大兴安岭寒温带林区的树种组成和生长,以及我国森林带的可能变迁为例进行了讨论。

关 键 词:全球气候变化  中国  森林  预测

THE PROBLEM OF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE FORESTS IN CHINA
Jiang Youxu.THE PROBLEM OF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE FORESTS IN CHINA[J].Scientia Silvae Sinicae,1992,28(5):431-438.
Authors:Jiang Youxu
Abstract:The climate change prediction in China based on OCU model as well as summary analysis of GFDL, GISS, NCAR, OCU and UKMO models are used for discussing the approaches to predict the response of the forests in China under double concentration of atmospheric carbon dioxide after about 2020. The growth, production and distribution boundary of Chinese fir (Cunninghamia lanceolata), the tree composition and their growth in cold temperate Oaxingan Mountain region, and potential forest zones in China as examples are discussed in this paper.
Keywords:Global climate change  Forests in China  
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