基于WEAP模型的石羊河水资源安全分析

利用WEAP软件建立了石羊河流域水量和水质预测模型,选取2010年为现状基准年,通过参考预案对流域未来的水量平衡关系、用水结构和水质变化进行定量计算和分析,预测流域水量和水质的变化趋势。结合石羊河流域治理规划,设计不同的预案组合,模拟水资源的管理决策,进行方案比选择优。结果表明：调整产业结构、压田节水、促进工业发展有利于流域水资源安全和可持续发展。

Water Security Analysis of Shiyang River Based on WEAP Model

The prediction model of water quantity and water quality in Shiyang river is established with WEAP,taking 2010 as current accounts. This model calculates and analyzes water balance relationship,water using structure and change of water quality by reference scenarios,predicts water quantity and quality trends in the future. This model also combines the strategic developing planning of the shiyang river to design different scenarios,simulate water management decisions and choose optimal solution. The result shows that it is helpful to water resources security and sustainable development of Shiyang basin by adjusting industrial structure,reducing water field,saving water and promoting industrial development.