| 用Fuzzy相关分析的综合决策模型预报害虫种群动态 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 华尧楠.用Fuzzy相关分析的综合决策模型预报害虫种群动态[J].植物保护学报,1987,14(1):15-20. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 华尧楠 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 山东省植物保护总站 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 模糊数学中综合评判法常用交并运算,由于丢失了大量信息,因而影响预测农业昆虫的效果。本文采用综合决策模型,提高了精细度。通过Fuzzy相关分析法预测二化螟发生量实例表明,不仅提出了一种新的统计预报方法,而且效果好,历史符合率达100％。
|
A SYNTHETIC DETERMINIATIVE MODEL OF THE FUZZY CORRELATIVE ANALYSIS FOR FORECASTING THE POPULATION DYNAMICS OF INSECT PESTS |
| |
| Hua Yaonan.A SYNTHETIC DETERMINIATIVE MODEL OF THE FUZZY CORRELATIVE ANALYSIS FOR FORECASTING THE POPULATION DYNAMICS OF INSECT PESTS[J].Acta Phytophylacica Sinica,1987,14(1):15-20. |
| |
| Authors: | Hua Yaonan |
| |
| Institution: | General Station of Plant Protection of Shandong Province |
| |
| Abstract: | The conventional synthetic assessment of fuzzy mathematics has long been used for forecasting the occurrence of insect pests. However desirable results may not be always obtained because of a lot of information lost during the mathematical processes. In this paper, a synthetic determinative model of fuzzy correlative analysis procedure was proposed so as to increase the accuracy of the prognoses. Examination of this procedure dealing with the outbreak of Chilo suppressalis showed that the historical coincidences between the prognoses and the investigations were one hundred percent. |
| |
| Keywords: | |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《植物保护学报》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《植物保护学报》下载免费的PDF全文 |
