| 未来发达社会水资源可持续利用情景的预断评价 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘德地,陈晓宏,王茹雪,王兆礼.未来发达社会水资源可持续利用情景的预断评价[J].灌溉排水学报,2009,28(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘德地 陈晓宏 王茹雪 王兆礼 |
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| 作者单位： | 中山大学水资源与环境研究中心,广州,50275
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| 摘 要： | 建立了广东省未来发达社会水资源可持续利用情景指标体系和分级标准;针对未来发达社会水资源可持续利用情景评价的问题,在借鉴基尼系数含义的基础上,提出了改进基尼系数综合评价方法,并应用于广东省2010、2020、2030年三个水平年的水资源可持续利用情景预断评价。结果表明,广东省在未来发达社会条件下水资源可持续利用情景将从目前的第Ⅳ级发展到第Ⅰ级,这与实际发展趋势相符合;所提出的改进基尼系数综合评价方法是合理的,同时计算也比较简单,适用于其他综合评价问题。
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| 关 键 词： | 水资源 指标体系 改进基尼系数 综合评价 广东省 |
The Evaluation on the Scenarios of Sustainable Water Resource Use in the Developed Society in the Future |
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| LIU De-di,CHEN Xiao-hong,WANG Ru-xue,WANG Zhao-li.The Evaluation on the Scenarios of Sustainable Water Resource Use in the Developed Society in the Future[J].Journal of Irrigation and Drainage,2009,28(1). |
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| Authors: | LIU De-di CHEN Xiao-hong WANG Ru-xue WANG Zhao-li |
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| Institution: | Center for Water Resource and Environment Research;Sun Yat-Sen University;Guangzhou 510275;China |
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| Abstract: | Based on consultation in experts and the analysis on the scenarios of sustainable water resource use in developed areas at home and abroad,the standard of classification and indices system of sustainable water resource use in the developed society in the future in Guangdong province are established in this paper.Referring to the problem of the evaluation on the state of sustainable water resource use in the developed society in the future,a comprehensive assessment method of improved Gini coefficient is giv... |
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| Keywords: | water resource indices system improved Gini coefficient complexity evaluation Guangdong province |
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