| 用“折扣”季节性指数法预测季度农产值 |
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| 引用本文： | 吕效国,邓英东,吕大梅.用“折扣”季节性指数法预测季度农产值[J].安徽农业科学,2009,37(26):12361-12361. |
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| 作者姓名： | 吕效国 邓英东 吕大梅 |
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| 作者单位： | 南通大学理学院,江苏南通,226007 |
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| 基金项目： | 南通大学自然科学研究课题，南通大学高等教育研究项目，南通大学教学研究课题 |
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| 摘 要： | “折扣”季节性指数法主要用“折扣”调整基本值、趋势值、季节性指数来修正模型参数，进行季节变动的趋势预测。介绍了用“折扣”季节性指数法预测季度农产值的原理，并进行了实例分析。
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| 关 键 词： | 折扣 基本值 趋势值 季节性指数 |
Predicting Agricultural Output Value with a Discount Seasonal Index Method |
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| LV Xiao-guo et al.Predicting Agricultural Output Value with a Discount Seasonal Index Method[J].Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences,2009,37(26):12361-12361. |
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| Authors: | LV Xiao-guo |
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| Institution: | LV Xiao-guo et al(Science school of Nantong University,Nantong,Jiangsu 226007) |
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| Abstract: | The discount seasonal index method was to modify model parameters and predict the trend of seasonal changes by adjusting basic value,trend value,seasonal index.The mechanism of predicting agricultural output value by discount seasonal index method was introduced,and analyzed with examples. |
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| Keywords: | Discount Basic value Trend value Seasonal index |
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