| 组合预测在吉林省粮食产量预测中的应用 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 王波.组合预测在吉林省粮食产量预测中的应用[J].安徽农业科学,2010,38(32):18538-18539. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 王波 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 吉林农业大学信息技术学院,吉林长春,130118 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 吉林省科技厅资助项目(20070610) |
| |
| 摘 要： | 利用吉林省1952~2009年粮食产量的统计数据,将指数平滑模型和GM（1,1）预测模型加以组合,建立了吉林省粮食产量的预测模型。同时,对吉林省2010~2015年粮食产量和年均增长率进行了预测,为吉林省未来的农业发展规划提供合理依据。
|
| 关 键 词： | 组合预测 GM（1 1）预测模型 粮食产量 |
Application of Composition Forecasting in Grain Production of Jilin Province |
| |
| WANG Bo.Application of Composition Forecasting in Grain Production of Jilin Province[J].Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences,2010,38(32):18538-18539. |
| |
| Authors: | WANG Bo |
| |
| Institution: | WANG Bo (College of Information , Technology,Jilin Agricultural University,Changchun,Jilin 130118) |
| |
| Abstract: | The forecasting model which combined the exponential smoothing model and GM(1,1) forecasting model was created by taking the data of the grain producing from 1952 to 2009.At the same time,the future grain production and the rate was forecasted from 2010 to 2015,which could offer the proper basis for the agricultural development plan of Jilin Province. |
| |
| Keywords: | Combination forecasting model GM(1 1)forecasting model Grain production |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
