| 陕西秦岭南北旱涝灾害时空变化趋势分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 宋春英,延军平,张立伟.陕西秦岭南北旱涝灾害时空变化趋势分析[J].干旱区研究,2011,28(6):944-949. |
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| 作者姓名： | 宋春英 延军平 张立伟 |
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| 作者单位： | 陕西师范大学 旅游与环境学院,陕西 西安 710062 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目“秦岭南北全球变化适应度评价及可持续发展模式选择”(40871052)资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据1961-2009年秦岭南北57个站点的月降水资料,采用区域旱涝指标和Z指数,运用Mann-Kendall检验、小波分析、Kriging插值等方法,对秦岭南北旱涝时空变化趋势进行分析。结果表明：①关中地区年平均气温倾向率大于陕南,气温突变年均为1996年。②近49年来,关中地区暖干化及春旱、夏涝的趋势较陕南显著。气...
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| 关 键 词： | 气候变化 旱涝灾害 时空分布 变化周期 厄尔尼诺 秦岭 陕西 |
| 收稿时间： | 2010-11-04; |
Temporal and Spatial Trends of Drought and Flood in the South and North of the Qinling Mountains in Shaanxi Province |
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| SONG Chun-ying,YAN Jun-ping,ZHANG Li-wei.Temporal and Spatial Trends of Drought and Flood in the South and North of the Qinling Mountains in Shaanxi Province[J].Arid Zone Research,2011,28(6):944-949. |
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| Authors: | SONG Chun-ying YAN Jun-ping ZHANG Li-wei |
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| Institution: | College of Tourism and Environment Sciences, Shaanxi Normal University, X]i’an 710062, China |
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| Abstract: | Based on the monthly precipitation data observed by 57 meteorological stations in the Qinling Mountains during the period from 1961 to 2009,this paper analyzes the temporal and spatial trends of drought and flood in the north and south of the Qinling Mountains and the response of regional drought index and Z index to global climate change using mainly the M-K mutation test,wavelet analysis and Kriging interpolation.The conclusions are as follow:(1) Climate trend rate of average annual temperature in Guanzho... |
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| Keywords: | climate change drought spatio-temporal distribution periodic variations El Nino the Qinling Mountains Shaanxi Province |
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