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基于灰色系统理论的加工番茄产量预测模型研究(英文)
引用本文:袁莉,姜波. 基于灰色系统理论的加工番茄产量预测模型研究(英文)[J]. (《农业科学与技术》)编辑部, 2011, 0(5)
作者姓名:袁莉  姜波
作者单位:新疆大学电气工程学院;
基金项目:Supported by National Natural Science Fund Item(61064005)~~
摘    要:[目的]研究基于灰色系统理论的加工番茄产量预测模型。[方法]运用灰色系统理论研究了加工番茄产量变化趋势,建立了加工番茄产量预测的GM(1,1)灰模型,并以新疆2001~2009年新疆加工番茄产量为例,进行了实例分析。[结果]该模型有较高的预测精度和较强的泛化能力,对近期加工番茄产量的预测是可靠的。[结论]为新疆地区番茄产业的宏观调控、番茄加工及储藏等方面提供了参考。

关 键 词:灰色系统理论  灰色预测模型  加工番茄产量

Study on the Yield Prediction Model of Processing Tomato Based on the Grey System Theory
YUAN Li,JIANG Bo College of Electrical Engineering,Xinjiang University,Urumqi. Study on the Yield Prediction Model of Processing Tomato Based on the Grey System Theory[J]. 农业科学与技术(英文版)Agricultural Science & Technology, 2011, 0(5)
Authors:YUAN Li  JIANG Bo College of Electrical Engineering  Xinjiang University  Urumqi
Affiliation:YUAN Li,JIANG Bo College of Electrical Engineering,Xinjiang University,Urumqi 830047
Abstract:[Objective] The research aimed to study the yield prediction model of processing tomato based on the grey system theory.[Method] The variation trend of processing tomato yield was studied by using the grey system theory,and GM(1,1)grey model of processing tomato yield prediction was established.The processing tomato yield in Xinjiang during 2001-2009 was as the example to carry out the instance analysis.[Result] The model had the high forecast accuracy and strong generalization ability,and was reliable for ...
Keywords:Grey system theory  Grey prediction model  Processing tomato yield  
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