| Analysis of Demand and Its Elasticity and Forecasting About Chinese Automobile Market |
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| 作者姓名： | CHEN Dao-ping LIU Wei |
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| 作者单位： | 1. College of Economics and Business Administration, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400030, China; 2. College of Mathematics and Computer Science, Chongqing Normal University, Chongqing 400047, China |
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| 摘 要： | By the monthly economic date about Chinese automobile and other relevant date,an analysis is first conducted that whether the automobile stock of China can significantly adjust the demand of automobile market or not.Second,a regression model and a time-series model which are used to forecast the demand of automobile of China are founded.Third,the income elasticity and price elasticity about the monthly demand of automobile of China are also analyzed.Conclusions are that automobile stock of China can't significantly adjust the automobile demand,that lag-two income of consumer and automobile price significantly affect the monthly demand of automobile,and that the price elasticity of automobile demand is big than lag-two income elasticity.At last,some proposal is put forward.
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| 关 键 词： | automobile stock demand elasticity |
| 收稿时间： | 7/6/2005 12:00:00 AM |
| 修稿时间： | 7/6/2005 12:00:00 AM |
Analysis of Demand and Its Elasticity and Forecasting About Chinese Automobile Market |
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| CHEN Dao-ping,LIU Wei.Analysis of Demand and Its Elasticity and Forecasting About Chinese Automobile Market[J].Storage & Process,2005(12):138-142. |
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| Authors: | CHEN Dao-ping LIU Wei |
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| Institution: | 1. College of Economics and Business Administration, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400030, China; 2. College of Mathematics and Computer Science, Chongqing Normal University, Chongqing 400047, China |
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| Abstract: | By the monthly economic date about Chinese automobile and other relevant date,an analysis is first conducted that whether the automobile stock of China can significantly adjust the demand of automobile market or not.Second,a regression model and a time-series model which are used to forecast the demand of automobile of China are founded.Third,the income elasticity and price elasticity about the monthly demand of automobile of China are also analyzed.Conclusions are that automobile stock of China can't significantly adjust the automobile demand,that lag-two income of consumer and automobile price significantly affect the monthly demand of automobile,and that the price elasticity of automobile demand is big than lag-two income elasticity.At last,some proposal is put forward. |
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| Keywords: | automobile stock demand elasticity |
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