| 生猪生产与农民收入的关系 |
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| 引用本文： | 龙方,潘国言. 生猪生产与农民收入的关系[J]. 贵州农业科学, 2011, 0(10) |
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| 作者姓名： | 龙方 潘国言 |
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| 作者单位： | 湖南农业大学经济学院;湖南农业大学商学院; |
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| 基金项目： | 湖南社科基金项目“湖南生猪生产波动与政策研究”(07YBB184); 湖南哲学社会科学成果评审委员会项目“湖南生猪产量波动及地区差异比较研究”(0803033B); 湖南教育厅课题“湖南生猪的产业组织研究”(08C405) |
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| 摘 要： | 为指导生猪生产和提高农民收入,以1977-2007年我国生猪出栏数量与农民人均实际纯收入数据为样本,采用VAR模型以及格兰杰(Granger)因果关系检验,对变量样本期内外的数值进行预测并分析了变量之间的因果关系。结果表明:近年我国生猪年出栏和农民实际人均纯收入的增长分别为3.6%和5%,生猪生产与农民收入之间不存在格兰杰因果关系,即从长期来看生猪生产并不能有效地提高农民收入,农民收入的提高也不能促进生猪生产的发展。
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| 关 键 词： | 生猪生产 农民收入 VAR模型 |
Relationship Between Live Pig Production and Farmers' Income |
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| LONG Fang,PAN Guo-yan. Relationship Between Live Pig Production and Farmers' Income[J]. Guizhou Agricultural Sciences, 2011, 0(10) |
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| Authors: | LONG Fang PAN Guo-yan |
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| Affiliation: | LONG Fang1,PAN Guo-yan2(1.School of Economics,Hunan Agricultural University,Changsha,Hunan 410128,2.Business School,China) |
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| Abstract: | The causal relationship between the live pig slaughter quantity and actual per capita net income in rural area of China from 1977 to 2007 was analyzed by the VAR model and Granger test to guide live pig production and enhance farmers'income.The results showed that the live pig slaughter rate and actual per capita net income increased by 3.6% and 5% respectively in recent years and there was no Granger relationship between live pig production and farmers'income,From the long term,live pig production can't ef... |
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| Keywords: | live pig production farmers'income VAR model |
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