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小麦白粉病预测模型的有效性评价
引用本文:聂 晓,黄 冲,刘 伟,范洁茹,胡小平,周益林. 小麦白粉病预测模型的有效性评价[J]. 植物保护, 2020, 46(5): 38-41
作者姓名:聂 晓  黄 冲  刘 伟  范洁茹  胡小平  周益林
作者单位:1. 西北农林科技大学植物保护学院, 旱区作物逆境生物学国家重点实验室, 杨凌 712100; 2. 中国农业科学院植物保护研究所, 植物病虫害生物学国家重点实验室, 北京 100193; 3. 全国农业技术推广服务中心, 北京 100125
基金项目:国家重点研发计划(2018YFD0200500);国家自然科学基金(31671966)
摘    要:为全面了解现有小麦白粉病预测模型的有效性,本文收集整理了全国9个省31个县(市)46个小麦白粉病预测模型,在对其实用性、时效性和准确性评价的基础上,对其中6个模型进行了优化、简化或重建,共获得4省7市12个小麦白粉病预测模型,此研究结果对于这些模型在生产上应用提供了依据。

关 键 词:小麦白粉病   预测模型   有效性评价
收稿时间:2020-02-21

The efficiency evaluation of wheat powdery mildew forecasting models
NIE Xiao,HUANG Chong,LIU Wei,FAN Jieru,HU Xiaoping,ZHOU Yilin. The efficiency evaluation of wheat powdery mildew forecasting models[J]. Plant Protection, 2020, 46(5): 38-41
Authors:NIE Xiao  HUANG Chong  LIU Wei  FAN Jieru  HU Xiaoping  ZHOU Yilin
Affiliation:1. State Key Laboratory of Crop Stress Biology in Arid Areas, College of Plant Protection, Northwest A & F University, Yangling 712100, China; 2.State Key Laboratory for Biology of Plant Diseases and Insect Pests, Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100193, China; 3. National Agro-Tech Extension and Service Center, Beijing 100125, China
Abstract:In order to fully understand the efficiency of the previous forecasting models of wheat powdery mildew, totally 46 models from 31 cities (counties) of 9 provinces in China were collected. Based on their practicality, timeliness and accuracy, six models were chosen and further simplified and optimized or rebuilt, and a total of 12 forecasting models were obtained for 7 cities of 4 provinces. The results of this study provide a basis for the application of these forecasting models in the control of wheat powdery mildew.
Keywords:wheat powdery mildew   forecasting model   efficiency evaluation
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