2013年国内稻米市场回顾及后市展望

2013年以来,受2012年产稻谷托市收购启动及2013年最低收购价继续大幅提高以及低价进口大米冲击和镉大米事件的影响,国内稻米价格总体偏弱运行,但品种间存在差异。其中,籼稻市场因供应充足、需求疲软,价格整体跌幅较大;粳稻市场在托市收购支撑下,价格总体保持缓慢上涨态势。预计后期国内稻米市场仍将维持"粳强籼弱"格局。如果新季稻谷生产不出现大的自然灾害,进口大米继续保持较高水平,中晚籼稻品种及局部地区粳稻启动托市收购的可能性较大。

Domestic Rice Market in 2013 and Its Prospect

Domestic rice prices have run weakly as a 2013, by the impact of starting prop acquisition for 2012 purchasing price in 2013, concussion of low-priced imported overall fell largely due to ample supply and weak demand; on trend under the supporting of prop acquisition. It was expected whole with differences between varieties since rice produce, significant increasing minimum rice and cadmium rice event. Indica rice price the whole, japonica rice price kept slow rising that domestic rice market would remain ＂indica strong japonica weak＂ pattern. If the new season rice produce without major natural disasters and imported rice maintain a high level, prop acquisition will be started for late indica rice and local area of japonica rice.