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危险性林木新病原康沃尔疫霉对我国的风险分析
引用本文:淮稳霞,赵文霞,姚艳霞,张敏. 危险性林木新病原康沃尔疫霉对我国的风险分析[J]. 植物检疫, 2011, 0(5)
作者姓名:淮稳霞  赵文霞  姚艳霞  张敏
作者单位:中国林业科学研究院森林生态环境与保护研究所;核工业计算机应用研究所;
基金项目:中国林科院森林生态环境与保护研究所所长基金项目(CAFR2F200712); 国家林业局948项目(2009-4-35)
摘    要:从传入和定殖可能性两方面分析了康沃尔疫霉(Phytophthora kernoviae)的风险性,并利用MAXENT生态位模型预测了其在我国的潜在适生区。结果表明:康沃尔疫霉(P.kernoviae)传入我国及其在我国南方沿海地区定殖具有高风险性,主要包括海南、广西、广东、福建、云南、台湾等省区,尤其花卉进出口基地云南省;上述地区应加强康沃尔疫霉(P.kernoviae)的检疫工作,实行严格的风险管理。

关 键 词:风险性  适生区  康沃尔疫霉  MAXENT  

Risk analysis of Phytophthora kernoviae,a dangerous new forest pathogens in China
Huai Wenxia,Zhao Wenxia,Yao Yanxia,Zhang Min. Risk analysis of Phytophthora kernoviae,a dangerous new forest pathogens in China[J]. Plant Quarantine, 2011, 0(5)
Authors:Huai Wenxia  Zhao Wenxia  Yao Yanxia  Zhang Min
Affiliation:Huai Wenxia~1,Zhao Wenxia~(1*),Yao Yanxia~1,Zhang Min~2(1.Research Institute of Forest Ecology,Environment and Protection,Beijing 100091,China,2.Computer Application Institute of Nuclear Industry)
Abstract:The risk of Phytophthora kernoviae was analyzed from the aspects of the introduction of the pathogen, population colonization.MAXENT ecological niche models was used to predict the potential geographic distribution of P.kernoviae in China.The results showed that the potential geographic distribution of P.kernoviae is expected to be constricted in south coast areas of China,such as Yunnan,Taiwan,Hainan,Guizhou,Guangxi,Guangdong and Fujian provinces.Particularly Yunnan,the main import and export base of flowe...
Keywords:risk  potential distribution  Phytophthora kernoviae  MAXENT  
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