基于VAR模型的能源消费结构优化与农业经济增长 |
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引用本文: | 王文霞. 基于VAR模型的能源消费结构优化与农业经济增长[J]. 现代农业科技, 2020, 0(8) |
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作者姓名: | 王文霞 |
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作者单位: | 河南财经政法大学 经济学院 |
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基金项目: | 国家自然科学基金资助项目“能源拥挤效应的影响机制与应对策略研究”(71704047) |
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摘 要: | 为实现农业现代化,中国农业能源消费总量不断增加,其中煤炭和柴油消费占50%以上。农业生产依赖化石能源,已经对资源和环境产生负面影响。改善和优化农业能源消费结构,实现低碳、环保和可持续发展,是中国农业现代化发展的必然选择。文章基于VAR模型,使用1996—2016年中国农业能源消费和农业经济增长数据,分析了能源消费结构优化对农业经济增长的作用机理。在农业生产中,通过减少使用化石能源、增加使用清洁能源、优化能源消费结构,促进农业产出增长,实现可持续发展。
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关 键 词: | VAR模型 能源消费结构 农业 增长 |
收稿时间: | 2019-12-24 |
修稿时间: | 2019-12-24 |
Optimization of energy consumption structure and agricultural economic growth based on VAR model |
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Abstract: | In order to realize agricultural modernization, the agricultural energy consumption in China is increasing. Among which, coal and diesel consumption account for more than 50%. Agricultural production relies on fossil energy, which has a negative impact on resources and the environment. Improving and optimizing the structure of agricultural energy consumption, to realize a low-carbon, environmental protection and sustainable development is an inevitable choice for agricultural modernization in China. Based on VAR model, using 1996-2016 agricultural energy consumption and agricultural economic growth data in China, the mechanism of energy consumption structure optimization on the agricultural economic growth is analysed: agricultural production, by reducing the use of fossil energy, increasing the use of clean energy, and optimizing energy consumption structure, is to promote agricultural output growth, and achieve sustainable development. |
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Keywords: | VAR model energy consumption structure agriculture growth |
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