河北省农民农业收入影响因素的计量分析

依据1985～2008年河北省相关统计数据,运用回归分析方法构建了农民农业收入影响因素的多元计量经济模型。实证模型表明,粮食单位面积产量、农产品生产价格指数、初中以上文化程度劳动力所占比重等因子对农民农业纯收入增长起到正向作用;农业产值所占比重、从事农业劳动力人数所占比重等因子对农民农业纯收入增长起负向作用。在上述分析的基础上,提出了相应的政策建议。

Quantitative Analysis of the Influencing Factors on Hebei Farmers Agricultural Income

On the basis of statistical dada of Hebei Province from year 1985 to 2008 was established using regression analysis method,an multi-dimensional model in econometrics to describe influencing factors about farmers' agricultural income.The proposed demonstration analysis model showed that some factors like unit yield of grain cultivated area,agricultural product price index,the proportion of labor force having middle or higher education background take the positive roles,while the factors like the proportion of agricultural product output,the number of labor force working in the area of agriculture the negative roles.According to the analysis above,the paper also presents the corresponding policy suggestions.