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现代绿洲生态经济系统的双向共进演替机制EE-BCM与绿洲稳定性概念模型
引用本文:周跃志,潘晓玲,吕光辉. 现代绿洲生态经济系统的双向共进演替机制EE-BCM与绿洲稳定性概念模型[J]. 干旱区资源与环境, 2005, 19(Z1): 8-11
作者姓名:周跃志  潘晓玲  吕光辉
作者单位:干旱半干旱区可持续发展国际研究中心;新疆大学资源与环境学院,830046
基金项目:国家自然科学基础研究基金(编号:199943503),国家教育部春晖计划项目(2004)项目资助.
摘    要:本文根据生态经济均衡理论对绿洲生态经济系统进行了均衡分析,提出了现代绿洲系统演替的基本机制,提出了现代绿洲生态经济双向共进演替机制EE-BCM,依此提出了现代绿洲稳定性的内涵,绿洲稳定性实质是绿洲复合系统生态与经济的正向协同共进演替状态(P-BCM),建立了概念模型。基于上述理论,建立评价模型,并对阜康绿洲进行了评价,与实际较为吻合。

关 键 词:现代绿洲  生态经济均衡  双向共进机制  稳定性  评价  阜康
文章编号:1003-7578(2005)07-008-04
修稿时间:2005-08-31

A Bidirectional Coevolution Mechanism of the Oasis Economic-ecology System and A Concept Model of Oasis Stability
ZHOU Yue-zhi,PAN Xiao-ling,LV Guang-hui. A Bidirectional Coevolution Mechanism of the Oasis Economic-ecology System and A Concept Model of Oasis Stability[J]. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2005, 19(Z1): 8-11
Authors:ZHOU Yue-zhi  PAN Xiao-ling  LV Guang-hui
Affiliation:ZHOU Yue-zhi~
Abstract:Based on the theory of economic-ecology equilibrium,an equilibrium analysis on the oasis economic-ecology system is discussed in this paper,and an evolutionary mechanism of the oasis economic-ecology system is brought forward.The vantage points are followed as : 1)The key evolution mechanism of modern oasis system is EE-BCM(bidirectional coevolution mechanism).2) The essence of oasis stability is that both the economy and the ecology should evolve harmoniously,positively and bidirectionally in an oasis system.A concept model of oasis stability and an estimation model are given in this paper.The estimation model is exercised in the estimation of the Fukang oasis stability and the results accord with the objectivities.
Keywords:modern: oasis  economic-ecology equilibrium  bidirectional coevolution mechanism  stability  estimation  Fukang
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