农业生产结构调整与农民收入的关系研究

以湖北省荆州市为例，对农业生产结构调整与农村居民人均纯收入增长的相关性作计量经济模型分析，以验证农业生产结构调整对农村居民人均纯收入增长的影响，并据此对提高荆州市农民收入提出相关建议。通过模型分析得到结论：在农业内部结构中，农业生产结构累计变动率每增加1%，农村居民人均纯收入增加1.21%。其中，种植业产值的比重和牧业产值的比重增加将导致农村居民人均纯收入减少；而渔业产值的比重增加将导致农村居民人均纯收入增加。在种植业内部结构中，粮食作物播种面积的比重增加会导致农村居民人均纯收入减少；经济作物播种面积的比重增加会引起农村居民人均纯收入的增加。

Relationship between Adjustment of Agricultural Production Structure and Income of Farmers

The central government's No. 1 document in 2009 pointed out that the income of farmers must be increased continuously. Some studies show that promoting the strategic restructuring of agricultural production will increase farmer's income as soon as possible. The relationship between the adjustment of agricultural production structure and the growth of rural per capita net income is studied with econometric models to verify the effect of adjustment of agricultural production structure on rural per capita net income, taking Jingzhou City in Hubei Province as an example. Some suggestions are offered to increase the income of Jingzhou peasants according to the analysis. Model analysis shows that in the internal structure of agriculture, the cumulative rate of change in the structure of agricultural production increases by 1%, per capita net income of rural residents increases 1.21%. The increase of proportion of planting and animal husbandry output value of the share will reduce the per capita net income of rural residents; and the increase of proportion of fisheries production will lead to increased per capita net income of rural residents. Within the planting structure, the increase of proportion of food crops acreage will lead to reduced per capita net income of rural residents; the increase of proportion of economic crop acreage will increase per capita net income of rural residents.