中国农业监测预警的研究进展与展望

农业监测预警不仅是当今农业科技的前沿领域和重大课题之一,也是应对农业的复杂性、高风险性,突破制约中国农业发展的资源环境管理等问题的高端工具。文章以农业监测预警内涵特征的变化为基础,系统回顾了几十年来国内农业监测预警研究经历的主要发展阶段,简述了农业监测预警研究在理论基础、关键技术和系统研发上取得的突破,总结了近10年来在不同产业领域中监测预警取得的系列重大进展,以及在现代农业管理的应急调度及信息权威发布上的重要应用。最后针对当前国内农业面临的发展新态势,提出了农业监测预警的未来发展前景,指出大数据和智能化支撑的中国特色农业监测预警体系,必将成为实现中国农业现代化的强力保障。

Review on Research in Agricultural Monitoring and Early Warning in China

Agricultural monitoring and early warning is not only the frontier field and major subject of agricultural science and technology, but also a high effective management tool to cope with the complexity and risk of agriculture, and to deal with the bottleneck of agricultural development in China. Based on the change of the connotation characteristics of agricultural monitoring and early warning, this paper reviewed the main development stages of agricultural monitoring and early warning in the past decades, briefly introduced the breakthrough of the research on the theoretical basis, key technology and system development of agricultural monitoring and early warning, and summarized the major progress of monitoring and early warning in different industries, as well as its important application to emergency dispatch and information authority release in modern agricultural management in the past 10 years. According to the new development trend of agricultural development in China, the future development foreground and trend of agricultural monitoring and early warning are put forward, and we also pointed out that the perfect agricultural monitoring and early warning system with Chinese characteristics based on big data and intellectualization will be a powerful guarantee to realize agricultural modernization.