A simple dose-effect model of lake acidity in Québec (Canada)

A simple dose-effect model expressing the relationships between lake acidity, weighted mean annual sulfate concentration in wet deposition, Ca, Mg and true color (as an index of organic anion concentration) is presented. The agreement between observed and estimated pH for more than a 1000 lakes is high according to the Pearson coefficients of correlation (0.81 to 0.90) and the standard error of estimation (0.22 to 0.27 pH unit). Results obtained with this model show that an airborne sulfate target loading of 20 kg ha^?1 yr^?1 would be too high to adequately protect sensitive lake ecosystems. A target loading of 15 kg ha^?1 yr^?1 in wet deposition would be best suited for the protection of the greater portion of sensitive lakes. However, a target loading of 10 kg ha^?1 yr^?1 would be required to protect the most sensitive lake ecosystems.