1969-2013年铁岭县气温变化特征分析 |
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引用本文: | 董宝磊,魏海宁,邵兵,崔曜鹏,丁伟,邢刚. 1969-2013年铁岭县气温变化特征分析[J]. 安徽农学通报, 2015, 0(9): 134-137 |
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作者姓名: | 董宝磊 魏海宁 邵兵 崔曜鹏 丁伟 邢刚 |
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作者单位: | 本溪市气象局,辽宁本溪,117000;本溪市气象局,辽宁本溪,117000;本溪市气象局,辽宁本溪,117000;本溪市气象局,辽宁本溪,117000;本溪市气象局,辽宁本溪,117000;本溪市气象局,辽宁本溪,117000 |
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摘 要: | 以铁岭县观测站数据为基础,选取气温要素指标,采用线性倾向估计、Mann-Kendall和累积距平法,对1969-2013年铁岭县气温变化趋势进行探讨。结果表明:近45a来,铁岭县春、夏、秋季和冬季平均气温均呈明显的增加趋势,夏季虽有增加趋势,但不显著。铁岭县年和各季平均气温均无明显突变。铁岭县在20世纪80年代末进入了明显的暖期。
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关 键 词: | 气温 线性评估 Mann-Kendall法 气温突变 |
Analysis of Temperature Variation of Tieling County from 1969 to 2013 |
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Abstract: | On the base of data of Tieling observatory station and select from them the target factors of tem?perature,using estimate of lined trend and Mann-Kendall cumulative departure method to analyze the chang?ing temperature trends from 1969 to 2013 of the city. The results show that:in the past 45 years,the aver?age temperature in spring,summer,autumn and winter in Tieling showed a significant warming trend,al?though the summer warming trend is not significant. Besides,te average temperature in the region had no significant mutations. In the late 1980s the county of Tieling experienced a clear warm period. |
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Keywords: | Temperature Lined assessment Mann-Kendall method Temperature mutation |
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