| 海南岛台风灾害损失的可拓评估方法及应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 孙伟,高峰,刘少军,田光辉,蔡大鑫. 海南岛台风灾害损失的可拓评估方法及应用[J]. 热带作物学报, 2010, 31(2): 319-324. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-2561.2010.02.028 |
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| 作者姓名： | 孙伟 高峰 刘少军 田光辉 蔡大鑫 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 南海气象减灾防灾重点实验室,海口,570203
2. 南海气象减灾防灾重点实验室,海口,570203;海南省气象科学研究所,海口,570203 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国气象局推广项目，海南省自然科学基金项目，海南省气象局科技创新项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 选择台风危害严重、具有典型性的海南岛作为研究区,通过对台风灾害成因的分析研究,在台风灾害形成环境背景和台风灾害数据库的基础上,利用统计方法确定评估模型中的各类参数,运用可拓理论建立海南岛台风灾害评估可拓模型,评估结果分为5级。利用所建立的评估模型对0801号台风"浣熊"进行计算,评估结果较符合实际灾情,说明将可拓方法应用于区域台风灾害评估的思路正确,方法可行,表明可拓方法在气象灾害评估方面的研究具有广阔的应用前景。
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| 关 键 词： | 海南 台风 灾害评估 可拓模型 |
Extension Assessment of Typhoon Disaster in Hainan Island and Its Application |
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| Sun Wei,Gao Feng,Liu Shaojun,Tian Guanghui and Cai Daxin. Extension Assessment of Typhoon Disaster in Hainan Island and Its Application[J]. Chinese Journal of Tropical Crops, 2010, 31(2): 319-324. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-2561.2010.02.028 |
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| Authors: | Sun Wei Gao Feng Liu Shaojun Tian Guanghui Cai Daxin |
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| Affiliation: | Sun Wei1,Gao Feng1,Liu Shaojun1,2,Tian Guanghui1,Cai Daxin1,2 1 Key Laboratory for South China Sea Meteorology , Disaster Mitigation,Haikou,Hainan 570203 2 Hainan Institute of Meteorological Sciences,Hainan 570203 |
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| Abstract: | Hainan Island suffers typhoon disaster seriously and has typical nature.It was selected as a case study area.According to the analysis of reasons of typhoon disaster formation,an extension model for evaluation of typhoon disaster in Hainan Island was built by using the extension theory based on the environment background and the typhoon disaster database.Various indexes for evaluation of typhoon disaster in Hainan Island were identified by using statistics method.The evaluation results were divided into 5 l... |
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| Keywords: | Hainan island typhoon disaster evaluation extension method |
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