| 新疆物流需求预测及分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 葛炬,蒋志清.新疆物流需求预测及分析[J].新疆农业大学学报,2008,31(5). |
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| 作者姓名： | 葛炬 蒋志清 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 新疆农业大学,机械交通学院,乌鲁木齐,830052
2. 新疆农业大学,经济与管理学院,乌鲁木齐,830052 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过对新疆物流特点的分析,指出新疆物流需求预测的影响因素和意义.在现有统计方式的前提下,可以通过货物运输的需求分析来推断物流需求.通过对1996-2006年新疆GDP和货物运输量的变动分析,运用弹性系数法、灰色系统模型法、回归预测法、集对分析聚类预测法,对2007-2020年新疆货物运输的需求量进行分析预测,从而得出新疆未来物流需求的变动趋势;通过对未来物流需求特点及运输方式特点的分析,提出满足物流需求的对策建议.
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| 关 键 词： | 物流需求 货运需求 预测方法 |
Prediction and Analysis of Logistic Demands in Xinjiang |
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| GE Ju,JIANG Zhi-qing.Prediction and Analysis of Logistic Demands in Xinjiang[J].Journal of Xinjiang Agricultural University,2008,31(5). |
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| Authors: | GE Ju JIANG Zhi-qing |
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| Institution: | GE Ju1,JIANG Zhi-qing2(1.College of Machanical Engineering , Communication,Xinjiang Agricultural University,Urumqi 830052,2.College of Economics , Management,Urumqi 830052) |
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| Abstract: | The purpose of the study was to analyze the logistic characteris,resourse characters and geographical advantages of Xinjiang and point out the influencing factors and significance of Xinjiang logistic demands.The analysis prediction of demands of goods transportation in Xinjiang from 2007 to 2020 was carried out by use of elasticity coefficient method,gray system model method,regression goods transportation change during decade.Therefore,the change trend of logistic demands for future in Xinjiang was obtain... |
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| Keywords: | logistics demand goods demand forecasting method |
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