安徽旅游产业与新型城镇化耦合协调时空演化及影响因素研究

利用综合指数评价模型、区域重心模型、耦合协调模型、地理探测器等模型和方法,分析安徽2011—2018年各市旅游业与新型城镇化系统的重心时空演化和空间层级演化,定量识别两个系统的耦合协调时空演化及影响因素。结果表明:安徽旅游发展和新型城镇化系统的重心整体上处于合肥市区域内,重心移动轨迹向西北迁移;安徽旅游产业呈现双极领先(黄山市、合肥市)的演化格局,新型城镇化呈现单极独强(合肥)的空间格局;安徽旅游业发展和新型城镇化进程的耦合协调呈现"积聚性"与"两极化"的时空特征;人口集聚、投资水平、财政水平、第三产业发展及消费能力,对于安徽旅游发展和城镇化系统的耦合协调发展具有正向促进作用。

The Spatial-temporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of Coupling Coordination Between Tourism Industry and New Urbanization in Anhui Province

The paper analyzes the gravity spatial-temporal evolution and spatial hierarchical evolution of tourism and new urbanization system in Anhui Province from 2011 to 2018,then identifies the coupling coordinated spatial-temporal evolution and influencing factors of the two systems by using the comprehensive index evaluation model,regional center of gravity model,coupled coordination model and geo-detector.The results show that:the center of gravity of the tourism development and urbanization system moves northwest gradually in Anhui Province with Hefei as the core,the evolution pattern of the tourism industry in Anhui Province is a bipolar leading pattern(Huangshan City,Hefei City),the spatial pattern of new urbanization is a unipolar pattern(Hefei City),the coupling coordination of tourism and new urbanization in Anhui Province presents the spatial and temporal characteristics of agglomeration and polarization.Population agglomeration,investment level,financial level,tertiary industry development and consumption capacity play a positive role in promoting the coupling and coordinated development of tourism and new urbanization system in Anhui Province.