| 江苏省全社会固定资产投资预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 徐志勇,秦伟良,李奇松. 江苏省全社会固定资产投资预测[J]. 安徽农业科学, 2007, 35(5): 1551-1553. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.0517-6611.2007.05.148 |
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| 作者姓名： | 徐志勇 秦伟良 李奇松 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京信息工程大学数理学院统计系,江苏南京,210044 |
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| 摘 要： | 采用Holter-Winter非季节指数平滑模型、GM(1,1)模型和分段线性回归模型,对江苏省1978～2005年的全社会固定资产投资总额进行研究.结果表明,与其他两模型相比,分段线性回归模型具有较好的拟合效果,并预测了"十一五"期间的固定资产投资总额.
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| 关 键 词： | 固定资产投资 Holter-Winter非季节指数平滑模型 GM(1,1)模型 分段线性回归模型 |
| 文章编号： | 0517-6611（2007）05-01551-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-11-19 |
Investment Forecast of Fixed Assets in Jiangsu Province |
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| XU Zhi-yong et al. Investment Forecast of Fixed Assets in Jiangsu Province[J]. Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences, 2007, 35(5): 1551-1553. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.0517-6611.2007.05.148 |
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| Authors: | XU Zhi-yong et al |
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| Abstract: | Investment in fixed assets of the whole society in Jiangsu province from 1978 to 2005 were studied by adopting Holter-Winter no seasonal exponential smoothing model,GM(1,1) model and linear regression model in section.The conclusion indicated that linear regression model in section had a better fitting effect than the other two models.And the whole investment of fixed assets in Jiangsu province during the eleventh five year was forecasted. |
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| Keywords: | Investment in fixed assets Holter-Winter no seasonal exponential smoothing model GM(1 1) model Linear regression model in section |
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