| AR(p)模型在预测黑荆树林分月总生长量中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 邱学清 王姚康. AR(p)模型在预测黑荆树林分月总生长量中的应用[J]. 福建林学院学报, 1989, 9(1): 43-49 |
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| 作者姓名： | 邱学清 王姚康 |
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| 作者单位： | 福建林学院林学系(邱学清，江希钿，黄健儿)，福安县林业局(王姚康)，福安县林业局(陈鼎源) |
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| 摘 要： | 本文应用时间序列分析方法,建立黑荆树林分总生长量的AR(p)模型,据以预测未来林分平均直径、平均高、蓄积量的月总生长量,其预测误差分别不超过±2％、±4％和±5％有较高的预测精度,在生产上具有一定的实用价值。
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| 关 键 词： | 时间序列分析 生长量 黑荆树 |
The Time Series AR(P) Model Used in Estimating Monthly Increment on the Wattle Stand |
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| Khiu Sickchen Jiang Xidian Huang Jianer. The Time Series AR(P) Model Used in Estimating Monthly Increment on the Wattle Stand[J]. Journal of Fujian College of Forestry, 1989, 9(1): 43-49 |
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| Authors: | Khiu Sickchen Jiang Xidian Huang Jianer |
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| Affiliation: | Department of Forestry Science |
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| Abstract: | Using a time series analysis, the AR(P) model of total stand-increment on wattle was developed to anticipate the future total monthly increment for the mean stand-diameter, the mean stand-height and the stand and their forecasting accuracy is high with a fairly practical value in the production because the error measurement do not exceed ± 2%, ±4% and ±5% respectively. |
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| Keywords: | the series analysis increment wattle |
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