基于协整检验与误差修正模型的农村固定资产投资与农业经济增长关系实证研究——以河南省为例

以1989～2010年河南省农村固定资产投资额与农业经济增长数据为依据,对二者之间的关系进行协整检验、格兰杰因果检验,并建立了误差修正模型。结果表明,河南省农村固定资产投资与农业经济增长之间存在着长期均衡关系,在不同的滞后期,二者之间存在着一定的格兰杰因果关系。今后河南省应加大对农村固定资产投资的力度,从而促进农村经济增长。

An Empirical Study on Relationship between Investments of Rural Fixed Assets and Agricultural Economic Growth Based on Co-integration Test and Error Correction Model : A Case Study of Henan Province

Based on the 1989 to 2010 time-series data of investments of rural fixed assets and agricultural economic growth in Henan Province,co-integration test and Granger causality test were made between them,and error correction model was built.The results indicated that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between investments of rural fixed assets and agricultural economic growth in Henan Province,they have different Granger causality in different lag phases,and more investments should be put into rural fixed assets in future.